Today’s Trade Thesis

Markets opened the week with a cautious tone. S&P 500 futures hover around 6,000, while Nasdaq continues to grind higher—driven by tech optimism. Bitcoin trades around $105,900, stabilizing after testing $106,300. Treasury yields are slightly lower as investors wait for today's key CPI print, which could confirm—or disrupt—hopes for a rate cut later this year.

There’s also renewed focus on U.S.–China trade talks in Lodon, with optimism keeping the risk-on mood intact, but any breakdown could flip sentiment quickly. Overall, the tone is cautiously bullish—investors are participating, but not aggressively chasing highs.

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