Macro Crossroads & Precision Setups: Nasdaq, S&P 500, EUR/USD

Markets opened the week with a cautious but slightly bullish tone. S&P 500 trades around 6035, pushing closer to its record highs above 6,144. The Nasdaq continues to grind higher, powered by tech strength and optimism around AI and chip demand. Bitcoin is hovering near $109,500, showing signs of strength as it stabilizes after testing $110,000. Treasury yields have eased slightly, with the 10-year yield retreating to around 4.45%, reflecting investor hope for a rate cut later this year—despite a slightly hotter CPI print this morning.

Globally, eyes remain on ongoing U.S.–China trade talks in London. So far, progress has supported a risk-on mood, but any misstep could rapidly reverse sentiment. Meanwhile, economic data is mixed: job growth remains solid, but inflationary pressures persist. Investors are navigating this balance carefully—participating in rallies, but not yet euphoric.

In today’s report, we focus on three high-conviction swing setups in Nasdaq, S&P 500, and EUR/USD using technical structure built on moving averages, order block zones, and RSI conditions.

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